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Use cases / Risk and forecasting

Risk and forecasting

When will we really finish, and what could change it?

Forecast your real finish with QSRA and PAD Prediction, and know which risks to tackle first.

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AI ModeDC EchoAuditable
When will we really finish, and what could change it?
Routed throughQSRAPAD PredictionQCRAOpportunities & Threats
  • P50 and P80 completion dates
  • Forecast finish by WBS
  • Top risk drivers
  • Mitigations ranked by impact
New QSRA run compared with last month. Top drivers sent to the risk manager.

Ask the AI. Or check the math yourself.

Same ground truth models underneath. Flip between the answer and the QSRA view behind it.

DC Echo Latest scheduleAI Mode
When will we really finish, and what could change it?

There’s a 0% chance of hitting 20 Jul 2027. Your P80 is 10 Jan 2028. Supply chain and utility risk events drive more than half of the exposure.

  • Chance of the planned date0%
  • P80 completion10 Jan 2028
  • Risk events, top 227% + 25%
QSRAPAD PredictionQCRAOpportunities & Threats
Evidence trail attached

Asked in AI Mode

Real questions. Real answers.

Know when you’ll really finish, and what could change it. AI Mode forecasts completion with QSRA and PAD Prediction, shows which risks matter most and what to do about them now.

Real customer projects, anonymized

AI ModeMiningAuditable

“What are the top three things that could go wrong in the next 30 days, and what can we do now?”

What AI Mode found30 days

15 foundation activities were due within 30 days, all at 0% complete and already 61 to 92 days behind. The project was earning 75% of planned progress.

Why it mattered. A clear action list for that week: escalate two work fronts, add crews, and brief leadership before the next update.

From your data to a decision you can defend.

01 · Your data
  • Risk registers
  • Schedule versions
  • Contracts
02 · Ground truth models
  • QSRA
  • PAD Prediction
  • QCRA
  • Opportunities & Threats
03 · Evidence trail
  • P50 and P80 completion dates
  • Forecast finish by WBS
  • Top risk drivers
  • Mitigations ranked by impact

Open any answer in Platform Mode and check the math yourself. How it works

Decisions that paid off.

All customer stories
The Herne Group · critical infrastructure
10 weeks
P50 pulled forward in 3 months
Read the story
Data center
35 days
of overrun avoided
Read the story
Industrial energy · Project team
281 days
of P50 movement, explained
Read the story
“We already know the project will be late. So this is actually something that will help us progress beyond that.”
Per Broden, Technical Risk Director, Mott MacDonald

More decisions it answers

Quality and compliance
Progress verification
Change management
Delay recovery
Acceleration
Disputes and claims

FAQ

Questions, answered.

Questions about risk and forecasting.

Talk to our team

In more than one way. QSRA gives P50, P80 and P95 dates from a Monte Carlo simulation, PAD Prediction forecasts finish dates from how completed work actually performed, and earned value gives an estimate at completion for cost.

Yes. Monte Carlo simulation of 1,000 to 10,000 iterations, with three-point estimates, risk events and P50, P80 and P95 dates.

It proposes three-point estimates for every activity. Your team can accept, adjust or override every one.

Yes. Run both and compare the results side by side.

Yes. QCRA runs a Monte Carlo cost simulation and shows P50, P80 and P95 costs for every WBS level and the whole project.